El discurso presidencial debió terminar con la visión al 2011. El recuento innumerable de pequeñas cosas hechas diluyó el importante mensaje central del Presidente: el Perú tiene un enorme potencial de estar mucho mejor en unos años con el esfuerzo solidario de todos. Me parece importante remarcar que el Presidente está planteando que el Perú debe alcanzar estas metas de reducción de pobreza, mayor inversión y progreso sobre la base de un nuevo modelo. Uno en el que las regiones pasan a tener un marcado protagonismo. En que son los gobiernos regionales y municipales los principales responsables de alcanzar ese mayor desarrollo.
Este cambio puede ser muy interesante porque implica abandonar esa visión virreinal que mencionó el presidente pero también puede implicar una enorme reducción en la calidad del gobierno. No hay nada más falso que algo que sea haga descentralizadamente se haga necesariamente mejor. Deficiencias en la ejecución puede implicar mayor conflicto social y no necesariamente menos conflicto.
A pesar de estar muy de acuerdo con los lineamientos generales planteados por el presidente me quedaron sin embargo algunas dudas.
1. Como ya dije la descentralización puede hacer que la población participe más cercanamente de las decisiones que afectarán su futuro pero no siempre decidirán lo mejor.
2. La austeridad es bienvenida donde realmente se elimina el dispendio. No así donde hace falta. Un estado eficiente necesita gente capaz. Gente capaz solo hay a precio de mercado. El resto es poesía.
3. ¿Qué dirán las familias de más bajos ingresos que escucharon el mensaje? ¿Tendrán paciencia? ¿Esperarán que las inversiones los alcancen al mercado global que crecerá este año más de 5%?
4. ¿Cuánto ha mejorado la situación de pobreza de aquellas familias inscritas en Juntos? ¿Ha valido la pena el esfuerzo?
5. Más TLCs sean todos bienvenidos. Pero hace falta poner el acelerador en el TLC interno. De esto no se dijo ni una palabra.
El tema más destacable: Me pareció excelente que el Presidente señalara a la Ley de Carrera Magisterial como la acción legislativa más importante de este primer año.
El tema incierto: ¿el pacto social incluirá a los trabajadores y firmas informales? O seguiremos pactando entre las inmensas minorías.
El tema ausente: shock de inversión pública. Increíble toda la lista de obras que señaló el presidente a pesar de que se sabe que el shock de inversión pública fue un rotundo fracaso.
El tema polémico: ¿que cosa es realmente hacer justicia social? ¿otorgar miles de millones a unos miles de jubilados que querrán desafiliarse del sistema privado de pensiones luego de voluntariamente pasarse a dicho sistema es realmente hacer justicia social? ¿Recontratar a personas que se fueron de la administración pública con indemnizaciones voluntariamente aceptadas es hacer justicia social?
La pregunta difícil: ¿Y si el crecimiento de la economía mundial se detuviese que es lo que haría distinto este gobierno?
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